Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 1123.017472 1269.580672 1430.692656 1621.375898 1841.454082 2088.138442 2386.495243
2025-11-16 899.944476 1097.011992 1332.996426 1638.291581 2025.516297 2503.880017 3145.128895
2025-11-23 777.523902 996.309232 1273.727984 1655.055787 2171.430211 2854.736521 3841.384012
2025-11-30 696.474216 928.990340 1237.786817 1683.876328 2321.718373 3216.137345 4592.617876
2025-12-07 611.499156 842.563522 1161.209015 1640.740717 2358.146209 3414.467825 5131.093653
2025-12-14 543.215995 769.782723 1092.613784 1596.176801 2380.326297 3586.459465 5645.643398
2025-12-21 484.889996 704.251211 1025.948300 1543.970807 2380.098470 3717.961347 6107.395824
2025-12-28 461.460312 687.341114 1028.562256 1596.462187 2548.128178 4135.621528 7110.656675
2026-01-04 434.467489 661.892482 1014.705374 1619.688108 2668.758118 4487.077151 8050.658846
2026-01-11 408.655334 635.590503 996.376408 1632.402217 2771.117347 4817.386120 9002.342427
2026-01-18 385.219691 610.814261 977.783446 1641.796481 2867.184568 5146.505029 10003.850960
2026-01-25 369.344518 596.934292 975.670248 1679.059977 3017.282608 5595.096140 11324.875864
2026-02-01 351.052763 578.032471 964.253213 1700.166765 3143.183567 6021.660659 12697.387092
2026-02-08 333.299836 558.648057 950.357821 1715.404001 3260.152535 6448.635956 14160.251449
2026-02-15 317.637938 541.521313 938.721188 1733.193129 3383.618438 6905.907845 15785.238746
2026-02-22 305.098141 528.884867 933.977436 1763.559946 3536.400801 7448.825381 17734.405157
2026-03-01 283.814700 498.572330 893.620888 1718.102839 3520.813641 7609.075124 18733.737339
2026-03-08 264.293067 470.107080 854.473834 1671.149205 3496.008476 7743.669589 19692.063461
2026-03-15 245.521573 441.756030 813.376604 1616.155573 3446.560688 7812.113351 20482.050545
2026-03-22 240.627327 439.612110 823.516256 1671.449865 3658.160103 8555.557616 23390.119885
2026-03-29 232.682645 430.915501 819.771590 1695.920141 3799.774468 9143.865031 25979.193112
2026-04-05 224.143092 420.418740 811.483585 1709.316483 3916.028874 9684.178228 28555.062016
2026-04-12 215.836669 409.804909 802.098796 1719.215317 4024.769107 10221.907854 31264.060263